Indeed, there was consensus among the panelists that at the moment, the telecom industry is not making necessary investment in plant and equipment despite business opportunities for companies that can exploit the new Exaflood demand for goods and services.
Global bandwidth to double in two years:
Global bandwidth demand will double in the next two years and usage could be 40 to 100 times what it is currently by 2018, according to a study. The study, commissioned by CIP technologies, says demand will be over 160 terabits per second in 2010, which is more than the total demand from 1998 to 2008.
Demand has risen due to the popularity of video sharing sites like YouTube, which some have claimed used as much bandwidth in 2007 as the entire internet in 2000. ‘Networks are now being used in a way that few people foresaw, for example early take-up of personalised video, rather than broadcast television, dominating internet video services,’ said the study’s author, David Payne of the Institute of Advanced Telecommunications at Swansea University.
Opinion: Not enough fibre
According to experts the world will soon run out of Internet bandwidth unless we install oodles more fibre optic cable. This shortage was discovered by a company which makes…..fibre optic cables.
Contrary view point article: Don’t Fear The Bandwidth Apocalypse
A good rule of thumb: when someone claims the Internet is facing bandwidth armageddon, it’s usually because they’re in the business of designing and selling traffic shaping hardware, trying to justify new and frequently unjustifiable broadband pricing models, or trying to scare politicians into doing what they want. The guys actually working in the network operation centers will generally tell you that congestion can almost always be handled with smart design and capacity upgrades.
In Closing: Thoughts to Ponder:
So what’s your opinion on the current state and future growth vs capacity of Internet bandwidth? What can network operators/ ISPs due to alleviate congestion caused by massive video downloads/uploads, streaming, and peer to peer traffic? One IEEE ComSoc-SCV Discussion Group member wrote:
"More interesting than the data and high level inferences in this
paper, is the question of the architectural and technical approaches to
meeting the need described here. I would guess (grossly simplifying) that
intelligent caching (including P2P at the edge) to take advantage of the
highly asymmetrical bandwidth patterns and "trickle feeding", together
with the availability of really cheap storage (that’s at Moore’s Law/
Moore’s Law+ growth rates) will be the philosophical approach for a lot
of the video traffic. "
Note that the FCC has proposed to discipline Comcast for slowing down, meetering, or blocking their customers peer to peer traffic from Bit Torrent. That’s a big vote for net neutrality.
What else should be done? Do the network operators need to be more agressive in their FTTH/ FTTP deployments -like Verizon (FiOS) and some independent telcos?
Addendum: Network Congestion prompts MLB.COM to Prevent Customers from watching live games– Aug 8, 2008
On August 6th, I received bogus blackout messages for each live mlb.com game I tried to watch. This was independent of the streaming speed (I’m a premium subscriber that usually watches at 1.2Mb/sec). When I tried to access a different game, I received a page with this message: "You’ve reached this page in error." When I entered my zip code=95050, I got a messsage back indicating that I was blacked out for SF and Oakland. But I was not trying to watch either of those teams!
When I called tech support, I was told there was a mismatch between my IP address (in San Jose, CA) and the games I was trying to watch. That seems to be a huge software error in the MLB.com server. Then the tech said that "during periods of network congestion users sometimes get bogus blackout messages." Finally, he had me remove and re-install a new version of the Silverlite media player. That seemed to fix the problem, but why? Is there a software bug in the previous version of Silverlite and if so, will the new version fix the problem (e.g. by allowing for a deeper playback buffer? I just checked the mlbsupport forum and another user complained about the exact same false blackout problem.